Master in International Markets
| Master in International Markets |
|
Antonio
Quesada Office hours can be requested at aqa@urv.cat |
Classroom A2.3 ˇ 6 October 2017 - 26 January 2018 Friday 17.00-19:00
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 Lecture notes and links1. General ideas | Sketch (unfinished)  Do we know less than nothing? A shocking illusion (N Wade (2015) Art and illusionists, p.12) What is reality? Another illusion (Albert or Marilyn?) and another one (N Wade (2015) Art and illusionists)  Dynamic Müller-Lyer illusion ˇ Dynamic M-L again  Slides to hallucinateHistory of mankind in one chart? (G Clark, Farewell to alms, p. 2) GDP per capita (Angus Maddison) ˇ Spain ˇ World ˇ US ˇ Continents ˇ Germany ˇ Latin America 1 2 GDP per capita ˇ SPA ˇ GER ˇ CZE ˇ IND ˇ CHI ˇ MEX ˇ ARG ˇ ROM ˇ COL ˇ TUR ˇ JOR 'Run to the light': The Earth at night | Nightearth.com Is everything a bubble? The US property boom Population (S Wells (2010) Pandora's seed: The unforeseen cost of civilization)Population and progress (Julian Simon: 'The total quantity of humanity (and the nexus of humannumbers with technology) has been the main driving force.')
What does 'the world' look like? CO2 concentration (R Hetherington, RG Reid (2010) Climate change and modern human evolution, p. 10)Peak oil curve (CAS Hall, KA Klitgaard (2012) Energy and the wealth of nations, p.37) Open economy trilemmas (D Rodrik (2007) One economics, many recipes) Average faces 1 2 3 4 | Game Face research Inequality (The elephant curve, http://prospect.org/article/worlds-inequality) What will happen doing business as usual ( The limits to growth, 1972, Donella Meadows et al) Planetary boundaries (http://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6223/1259855) Epochs of resource-based development (Edward B. Barbier, 2011, How economies have developed through natural resource exploitation) Towns of the Roman Empire (NJG Pounds, An economic history of medieval Europe, p.5) Crisis theory (Michael Roberts, 2016, The long depression: Marxism and the global crisis of capitalism) Stages in a bubble Divergence | Technological diffusion 1 2 | Trade 1 2 3 | Trust | Wheat vs rice | CO2 | Two views 2. Lecture 2 4. Lecture 4 5. Lecture 5 6. Lecture 6 7. Lecture 7 8. Lecture 8 9. Lecture 9 10. Lecture 10 11. Lecture 11 12. Lecture 12 13. Lecture 13 | Last  Multiple-choice questions Multiple-choice exam | 19 Jan 2018 | Marks Digit ratio 2D:4D (see John T. Manning (2002): Digit ratio: A pointer to fertility, behavior, and health) |
HALL OF FAME Lara Nicolás Links and readings Seven challenges to globalization (World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council, 2015) 'Arithmetic, population, and energy', a lecture by Albert Bartlett on growth insustainability"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." Albert A Bartlett Real-world economics review (dare to take a look) Will a robot take your job? | BBC news Will your job be done by a machine? | npr.org [The site says that college professors have a 3.2% chance of being automated] An algorithm defeats professional poker players | THE INDEPENDENT.co.uk 2 Mar 2017 This 2013 paper by CB Frey and MA Osborne suggests a list of occupations rankedaccording to their probability of computerization The J curve: A new way to understand why nations rise and fall (I Bremmer, 2006; excerpt) World & wealth income database Indexmundi Gapminder Penn World Table 9.0 Women after all: Sex, evolution, and the end of male supremacy (Melvin Konner) article book Lights at night are linked to breast cancer (2008) Using night light emissions for the prediction of local wealth (2016) Wikipedia's list of environmental issues Cogita tute (think for yourself) Facts about global poverty 'What causes hunger?'
Was wealth really determined in 8000 BCE, 1000 BCE, 0 CE, or Even 1500 CE? (WR Thompson, K Sakuwa 2013) Longest-run globalization: Human expansion | Domestication | Societies (Neil Roberts, 2014, Holocene: Environmental history) World inequality report 2018 | World inequality lab FunWiio's laws (humoristically formulated serious observations about human communication, Osmo Antero Wiio) • Communication usually fails, except by accident • If communication can fail, it will • If communication cannot fail, it still most usually fails • If communication seems to succeed in the intended way, there's a misunderstanding • If you are content with your message, communication certainly fails • If a message can be interpreted in several ways, it will be interpreted in a manner that maximizes the damage • There is always someone who knows better than you what you meant with your message • The more we communicate, the faster misunderstandings propagate • In mass communication, the important thing is not how things are but how they seem to be Sturgeon's law: 90% of everything is trash Economics jokes 1 2 3 Correlations and more correlations The basic laws of human stupidity (Carlo Maria Cipolla) | HISB The 100 most influential persons in history?  Happy planet index | Calculate your personal score on the Happy Planet Index here Asians vs Westerners (R Nisbett 2003: How Asians and Westerners think differently and why, p. 141)We are not the end (New Yorker) | Bremmer's geopolitical scenarios | The Thucydides trap Cognitive biases | Kondratieff cycles | Grain vs people | Trade vs production World economic triad | Biggest cities | Washington consensus | Democracies Ideologies & globalization | Views on globalization | 2025 tipping points Economic evolution | GDP per capita (1980, 2014) |