Introduction to Macroeconomics ˇ 2017/18
1r Grau d'Economia, ADE, FIC ˇ 4M
   

 
 


Antonio Quesada
Office 314
Departament d'Economia
Universitat Rovira i Virgili

Avinguda de la Universitat 1
43204 Reus

E-mail: aqa@urv.cat   

Office hours (February - May 2017)
Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday   08.00-09.00
Friday
                                          08.00-11.00

Lecture room A1.1 ˇ 6 February 2018 - 22 May 2018
Tuesday 09
:00-11:00 (start 09:05; end 10:55) & Thursday 11:00-13:00 (start 11:05; end 12:55)
 
Class timetable ˇ Granville 
February
6
8
13
15
20
22
27  

March
1
6
8
13 15
20
22

April
3
5
10
12
17
19 24 26
May
3
8 10
15
17 22
2


Clock





 
 


Contents  

I. Crash course


  1. Textbook view of money creation  Some slides 

     
  Monetary aggregates (eurozone)  Currency 1  2 M1 M1-M3  | Growth monthly annual  | Ratios
      

  2. Liquidity market model  Key ECB interest rates 


  3. Currency market model  |  Exchange rates USD 1  2 |  GBP 1  2 JPY CNY 


  4. Aggregate supply - aggregate demand model | Old notes | R Kennedy on GDP Expenditure multiplier 1  2   

      
  Inflation rate (Spain)  1962-2018   2003-18   2003-18 (monthly
          Data on CPI at INE 
  
         GDP growth rate (Spain)  |  Annual 1996I-2017IV  1  2  |  Quarterly 1995II-2017IV  1  2
       
  Data on GDP at INE  Data on unemployment at INE | Nominal vs real GDP   
       
  Greece  |  Greece  GDP  GDP growth  | GDP per capita SPA ITA GRE POL  

    
     Euro area  EuroCOIN  HCPI  |  Inflation rate  EuroCOIN + Inflation rate 



II. Basic extensions 

  Reality is ambiguous  

     
   A shocking illusion (N Wade (2015) Art and illusionists, p.12
        Albert or Marilyn?  |  Another illusion (N Wade (2015) Art and illusionists
        Dynamic Müller-Lyer illusion ˇ Dynamic M-L again 
    

  5. Sectoral basic identity, savings identity   |  Spain 1995I-2017IV 


  6. Real interest rate, Fisher equation, Fisher effect  |  T-bills (Spain)  |  Euribor 1  2   


  7. Unemployment and business cycle  (new pdf version that includes missing symbols)
           Unemployment and business cycle (this version highlights the basic ideas for the final exam)

 
          Unemployment (Slides)

     
      Unemployment rate (Spain) 2002I-2017IV  Men and women  Young people 
            Unemployment and GDP (Spain) 1976III-2017IV  Quarterly  Annual 
            Okun's law (Spain) 1976III-2017IV  1  2 


  8. Macroeconomic policy   (new pdf version that includes missing symbols)
           Macroeconomic policy (this version highlights the basic ideas for the final exam)

  9. Orthodox and heterodox thinking  


  10. Additional ideas  



 

Problem sets

  Problem set 1 | Money creation 

  Problem set 2 | Interest rate 

  Problem set 3 | Exchange rate  

  Problem set 4 | GDP and inflation rate
    
  Problem set 5 | Identities, business cycle, policies
 



Useful reports and more links

  Presentation (March 2018, Kingdom of Spain) to investors  ( source

  Bristol pound (Wikipedia)
  New Economics Foundation (think tank)

  Marx at 200 (Irish Times) | 5 May 2018 

  Argentina seeks IMF financial aid (BBC News) | 8 May 2018 

  Varoufakis interview (thanks to Óscar GL for the suggestion) | 10 May 2018 
   
  On the Aquarius refugee ship (migration crisis) | 22 Jun 2018 





Evaluation

1st call
 

35% of the final mark: mid-term activities and mid-term exam
25% of the final mark: end-of-term exam (Tuesday 22 May 2018)

40% of the final mark: final exam (Friday 1 June 2018, 12:00)
    It is necessary to pass the final exam to pass the course
   
2nd call

100% of the mark: final exam (Wednesday 20 June 2018, 12:00)



Exams

  Exam 1  |  1 Mar 2018  (topic 1)
  Exam 2  |  15 Mar 2018  (topics 1 and 2) 

  Exam 3: mid-term exam 5 Apr 2018 (topics 1, 2, 3, 4) 

  Phantom exam  |  3 May 2018 

  Exam 4: end-of-term exam |  22 May 2018 

  Final exam (1st call) 1 Jun 2018 

  Final exam (2nd call) 20 Jun 2018 



Marks

  Exam 1  |  1 Mar 2018 
  Exam 2  |  15 Mar 2018  


 
Links

The Spanish economy
Key macroeconomic figures of the eurozone

ECB's website
 Statistical Data Warehouse (eurozone)
ECB key interest rates  

 Exchange rates: x-rates.com 

Workd economic outlook (IMF)  | January 2018 update 
WEO database (October 2017)

Trading economics
Debt clocks  Spain  US of A 

Maddison project (real GDP per capita series)


Datosmacro.com  (in Spanish) 
World population clock     
World population prospects 2017 (United Nations)    
Historical time series data on the economic history of Europe (Karl Gunnar Persson)    
Spanish unemployment map (Datosmacro.com)   Unemployment   CAT  |  ESP  

Logical fallacies  
IDESCAT (GDP of Catalonia)
Real-world Economics Review        
Post-crash economics     

AIReF (Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility)    
Will the Spanish government meet the deficit target for 2018? (April 2018)   1  |  2  (in Spanish) 


News and events

Another Black Monday (19 Oct 1987 and 05 Feb 2018)?  Dow Jones 1  2 
'Dow plunges 1,175 - worst point decline in history | CNN  05 Feb 2018


Guindos for ECB vice-chair  Reuters   Bloomberg   19 Feb 2018 
The Peter principle
Governing Council: ECB's main decision-making body 

Faking GDP China  Fortune 14 Dec 2015  Rwanda  ROAPE   26 Jul 2017 

On March 8     
  Women after all: Sex, evolution, and the end of male supremacy (Melvin Konner) article book

  Catalonian GDP growth: 3.4% in 2017 (Spanish)
  Spanish exports at record level (Spanish)
  US interest rate expected to lift  | 21 March 2018  


Last update: 22 June 2018 ˇ 17:01