Introduction to Macroeconomics · 2010/11
1r Grau d'Economia, ADE i Finances i Comptabilitat · M7
   

 
 


Antonio Quesada
Office 314
Departament d'Economia
Universitat Rovira i Virgili

Avinguda de la Universitat 1
43204 Reus

Office hours (February-May 2011)
Tu. 08:00-9:00 & 11:00-13:00
Thu. 08:00-11:00

Lecture room 2.2 · 8 February 2011 - 19 May 2011
Tu. 9:00-11:00 & Thu. 11:00-13:00
  
 
Class timetable
February
8
10
15
17
22
24


  
March
1
3
8
10
15
17
22
24
2931 
April
5
7
12
14
26
28


  
May
3
5
10
12
1719

  

Mid-term exams in red
Additional session: 30 Mar, 15:00-16:00, classroom A06

  PDF of this page  |  Our future?
    

 
 


Lecture notes

  Presentation   
  Main ideas  |  Compendium of ideas

 1a. Main macroeconomic variables  |  big slides  |  small slides
      GDP, inflation rate, unemployment rate   


 1b. The real side: macro identities  big slides  |  small slides
      investment = private saving + government saving + foreign saving

 1c. The financial side  big slides  |  small slides
      money, financial assets, interest rates, money multiplier

       That thing called financial crisis 

 2a. The loan market model  big slides  |  small slides
      open market operations, demand for loans, supply of loans, 
      
equilibrium (nominal) interest rate, real interest rate, Fisher effect

 2b. The currency market model  big slides  |  small slides
      foreign exchange rate, demand for €, supply of €, arbitrage,
     
impossible trinity, real exchange rate, purchasing power parity

 2c. The AS-AD model  big slides  |  small slides
      aggregate supply, aggregate demand, macroeconomic equilibrium,
      business cycle, Phillips curve, Okun's law

     
     
 The multiplier effect in action

 3. Macroeconomic policy  big slides  |  small slides
      monetary policy, European Central Bank, quantity equation,
      Taylor's rule, classical dichotomy, fiscal policy, Goodhart's law




Bibliography

  B. Bernanke & R. Frank (2007): Principles of Macroeconomics 3/e   
  C.I. Jones (2010): Macroeconomics (Economic Crisis Update)   
      The lectures from his Macroeconomics course are available here.

      Some books can be previsualized in Google Books, for instance:
  N.G. Mankiw (2009): Principles of Macroeconomics 5/e
 

  Slides from the textbook Economics by P. Krugman and R. Wells
 

Most recommended

 G.R. Evans: The loanable funds model   
 G.R. Evans: The aggregate supply-aggregate demand model   
  W. Vickrey: 15 fatal fallacies of financial fundamentalism

  The Spanish Economy


Problem sets

  Problem set 1  |  GDP, inflation rate, unemployment rate
  Problem set 2  |  Real side and financial side

  Problem set 3  |  The loan market
  Problem set 4  |  The currency market, foreign exchange rate
  Problem set 5  |  The AS-AD model

  Problem set 6  |  Monetary policy, fiscal policy



 Data and graphs

  GDP, third quarter 2010, Spain |   GDP Spain (1995-2010)
      Taken from INE 

  Current Account, Spain (1980-2015)
      Taken from  World Economic Outlook October 2010 
   
  France, Italy, Kazakhstan, Poland, Spain (1980-2015)
      Taken from  World Economic Outlook October 2010

  The G7: real GDP growth and inflation rate (1980-2015)
      Taken from  World Economic Outlook October 2010

  Germany, France, Italy, Spain (1820-2008)
      Taken from The World Economy: Historical Statistics  

  Interest rates, Spain (1990-2010) 
      Taken from  INEbase  

  Charts for the Eurozone
   
  Taken from ECB Monthly Bulletin, February 2011  
 
  Dow Jones (1928-2011)              and      IBEX-35 (1992-2011)
      Taken from Yahoo Finance    and       IBEX-35.com

  Euribor (1997-2011) 
      Taken from  European Banking Federation  

  Euro vs Yen (01/03/11-21/03/11) 
      Taken from  European Central Bank  

  Spain: GDP growth of autonomous communities (25/03/11)

  Interest rates of central banks 
 
  €-coin : real time indicator of the euro area economy 
      Taken from  CEPR  

  The Phillips curve and Okun's law: some graphs  

  Phillips curve, Spain (1976III-2010IV) 
      Taken from  INEbase  

  ECB Statistical Warehouse Quick View 



Fun

 Most powerful people in the world (2010)
   
 Most dangerous pseudoscience

 The Ferengi rules of acquisition
 

 Macro statistics to forecast presidential elections

 Recovery

  US National Debt Clock

  String theory (can you see some resemblance to macro theory?)

  The rules for students (attributed to Bill Gates)
      See also here


  Are you a bonobo or a chimpazee? (20/05/11)

  World POPclock 
     According to the International Programs Center, U.S. Census
     Bureau, the total population of the World, projected to the 21st of
     May, 2011, at 09:40 UTC (EST+5) is 6,919,775,688.


  Erlich (27/05/11)

  Españistán (YouTube)








Continuous assessment and exams
 
   1st examination period
   
20% (of the final mark) : best two results
    of three mid-term exams     1st
  2nd   3rd   
   
  5% : XVII Economics Symposium
   
15% : assignment
        1. Consists of the description, comment,
        and analysis of some piece of news, like
        "Rising interest rates?" below.
        2. The student chooses the article, which
        should preferably be in English.
        3. The analysis must resort to models (in
        which case 
graphical depictions should be
        included) or results from the course.
        4. Length: maximum 6-7 pages.
        5. Give in a copy in paper or send a PDF
        file to aqa@urv.cat not later than 19/05/11.
   
60% : final exam 31/05/11 12:00  P1  P2

   
  Surprise exam    
    
  Another surprise exam    

 
 2nd examination period
   
100% of the overall mark : final exam (like            20/06/11 12:00   Part 1  Part 2


Marks

 
    From the surprise exam (10/03/11)
      From the 1st mid-term exam (14/04/11)
          Revised version: 15/04/11 · Thanks to
          Konstancja for pointing out errors
    
  From the 2nd mid-term exam (12/05/11)
      From the 3rd mid-term exam (19/05/11)
    
  From the final exam (31/05/11)

   
  Final mark (1st examination period)
   
  Final mark (2nd examination period)


Web sites

 The World Economy · Historial Statistics
Penn World Table · Version 6.3
 World Economic Outlook 2010 Database
 European Central Bank · Statistics
 Indexmundi
Trading Economics
 The World Factbook (CIA)
Inflation Data

 INE · Spanish National Accounts
 INE · Surveyed Spanish unemployment
 INE · Spanish Consumer Price Index
 Idescat (Catalonian official statistics)

 Resources for Economists on the Internet 
 Dismal Scientist (Economics made clear) 
The Economist (not all contents free)
Economagic (not all data free)
Course material on International Economics
 Sloman Economics News Site  

Merriam-Webster (on-line dictionary)
Collins revers (on-line translation)  


Readings

  E. Maskin on economic theory and the crisis

  ECB Monthly Bulletin February 2011
     
 
  Rethinking macroeconomic policies

  Impact of Basel 3 on GDP

  Io servo chi mi paga

  Pricing Spanish T-bills   
   
  Rising interest rates? 24/02/11

  Madoff: "Everyone was greedy" 
      (article in Spanish, 01/03/11)

  Ponzi scheme · Spanish mini-Madoff

  Capital flight (07/03/11)

  Factoring (07/03/11)

  CPI (12/03/11)

  BOJ pumps money 13/03 14/03 15/03/11

  Bank for International Settlements (13/03/11)
      BIS site

  Quakeconomics 15/03/11  20/03/11

  Evolution of the yen  (& 17/03/11)

  Increasing inflation (17/03/11)

  ECB: second thoughts (17/03/11)

  The Fifth Horseman of the Apocalypse:
      speculators (17/03/11)


  How will disaster affect Japan's economy?
      (20/03/11)
   
  Should the ECB raise rates? (11/03/11)

  CAREC Report

  Adoption of policy rules (26/03/11)

  Rising inflation (30/03/11)

  On Goodhart's law · More · More · And more

  "The most important book ever written"
  The seven deadly innocent frauds

  Iceland (03/04/11)

  Implementation of monetary policy (ECB)

  Speech by the governor of the Spanish CB

  "Estamos mal, pero vamos bien" (07/04/11)

  Government budget in the US (08/04/11) 

  A booming economy (15/04/11) 

  Five millions (Le Monde, 29/04/11)

  La mort de BL fait grimper le dollar (02/05/11)

  Save the west (guardian.co.uk, 02/02/09)
 
  Draconian rescue (05/05/11)
 
  Greece again (09/05/11)

  The private debt problem (12/05/11)

  Krugman on austerity (22/05/11)

  Perfect storm (26/05/11)

Last update: 20 June 2011 · 14:22
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